A poll paid for by independent gubernatorial candidate Bill Walker shows that Walker is just one point behind Gov. Sean Parnell, if the two were able to go head-to-head in the general election without a third candidate. However, throw Democratic candidate Byron Mallott into the mix, and Parnell beats Walker by about 14 percent and Mallott by 26 percent. When Mallott and Parnell are put together, Parnell wins by about 21 percent. (The questions and results are below.)
The take-away, according to Ivan Moore, who conducted the poll: “Byron Mallott is not going to win, even if he were running in a two-way race.” However, if Mallott were to drop out, Walker could “very easily win,” Moore said, but the chances are less likely if Mallott stays in the race.
There’s been no indication that Mallott will end his run.
Moore surveyed 584 likely voters statewide on both landline and cell phones between June 19-23. The margin of error is 4.05%. The party affiliation of those surveyed was roughly 15 percent Democrat, 28 percent Republican, 5 percent other party, and 51.7 percent non-affiliated.
In a release, Walker said that the numbers are proof that his grass roots efforts are paying off.
“We have sixteen campaign co-chairs from all regions of Alaska – – from Bella Hammond in Lake Clark to Clem Tillion in Halibut Cove to Shirley Marquardt in Unalaska to Roger Hickel in Anchorage,” he wrote. “In every nook and cranny of the state, Alaskans are requesting bumper stickers, campaign signs and T-shirts.”
He said that the results “explain Parnell’s recent personal attacks on me through social media and in his campaign emails and presentations.”
He’s referring to comments Parnell said about Walker’s campaign following an op-ed written by independent lieutenant governor hopeful Craig Fleener, who’s running with Walker. Fleener wrote that Parnell didn’t attend a National Congress of American Indians because he was “caught in traffic.”
Parnell’s campaign swung back at Fleener, calling him a “liar.” Parnell was in fact out of town, attending his in-laws’ anniversary, and had declined the invitation well in advance.
Here’s the questions and the results:
1) If the 2014 General election for Governor was held today, and the candidates
were ____ for whom would you vote for Governor?
Bill Walker, Independent: 28.5%
Sean Parnell, Republican: 42.3%
Byron Mallott, Democrat: 16.1%
Not sure: 13.2%
2) How about if the candidates were _____ for whom would you vote for Governor?
Bill Walker, Independent: 45.1%
Sean Parnell, Republican: 46.3%
Not sure: 8.6%
3) How about if the candidates were _____ for whom would you vote for Governor?
Byron Mallott, Democrat: 34.0%
Sean Parnell, Republican: 54.9%
Not sure: 11.1%
Contact Amanda Coyne at firstname.lastname@example.org