Unless something really weird happens, it appears that GOP Senate candidate Dan Sullivan’s lead will hold (See this dandy chart from Alexandra Gutierrez.) However, nobody has yet called the race, as they might in another place where the major networks use statisticians, which typically call races based on probably results. Because we don’t have those in Alaska, typically candidates do it themselves when a win is all but sure on Election Night. Sullivan didn’t do that. It’s unclear why, but it’s led to some interesting charges. One thing’s clear, if and when the race is called in his favor, it’s not an auspicious way to start a term. See below:
— Alaska Democrats (@AlaskaDemocrats) November 7, 2014
@Nat_Herz @Amanda_Coyne point of the PR war is to shape public opinion & public pressure in case there is a legal battle. See FL 2000. — Taniel (@Taniel) November 7, 2014 @Amanda_Coyne @Nat_Herz Even if Begich concedes, the votes will get counted, period. If he has more votes, he wins regardless of concession — Jim Wilke (@JimWilke) November 7, 2014
Hey outsiders, stop telling us how to run our elections. We are counting all the votes. Breathe. #AKsen
— Julie Hasquet (@HasquetAK) November 7, 2014
— Taniel (@Taniel) November 7, 2014
From a reader, who seems to know more about these things than I do. I do know that freshman orientation is Wednesday:
You have to figure that Begich’s refusal to concede makes it harder for Sullivan to recruit top-tier staff and lobby for committee assignments. Begich’s refusal to acknowledge the obvious hurts his successor and the state. There’s got to be a ton of behind the scenes jockeying going on right now as the Senate Republicans and committees staff up and Begich is keeping Sullivan’s hands tied.