A Quinnipiac University and CNN poll on Republican views on immigration indicate that the chances of getting comprehensive immigration reform passed are slimmer than ever. Here’s an analysis of the poll by the Washington Post’s Aaron Blake:
The Q poll shows support for allowing illegal immigrants to apply for citizenship falling to its lowest point since the survey started asking the question two years ago. Fewer than half — 48 percent — now support a path to citizenship, down from 57 percent one year ago. The poll also shows that 35 percent say these immigrants should be required to leave (the word “deportation” is not mentioned). That’s a new high, and it’s up nine points from the last poll. And here’s the real kicker: The shift is almost completely among Republicans. Although they supported citizenship over deportation 43 to 38 percent in November 2013, today they support deportation/involuntary departure over citizenship, 54 to 27 percent.
That’s two to one — a stunning shift.
Some are blaming Obama’s executive action, which have motivated the Republican base. Whatever the cause, Sen. Lisa Murkowski, who’s likely going to face a tough 2016 primary and who had supported comprehensive reform, probably won’t be pushing for it anytime soon.