Oregon based Moore Information, which is the pollster for U. S. Senate candidate Dan Sullivan, shows that Sullivan is surging in the final weeks of the primary season. The most recent poll by Moore was conducted Aug 4-5 of 500 likely Republican primary voters. It shows Sullivan getting 42 percent of the GOP primary vote, Treadwell getting 25 percent and Miller 17 percent. About 16 percent remain undecided.
It’s the biggest lead so far for Sullivan. In the past months, Moore has had Sullivan up anywhere from 8 to 12 points, with as many as 22 percent undecided. Other pollsters have Sullivan also leading, but by less than Moore.
According to Moore:
The remarkable part of the Sullivan surge is that he now holds significant double digit leads in almost all regions of the state, among younger men and younger women, among older men and older women. He leads among Republicans by 23 points, among Non-Partisans by 8 points and among Undeclareds by 9 points. He holds solid, double digit leads with ‘very conservative’ voters and with ‘somewhat conservative’ voters and is even slightly ahead of Treadwell among ‘moderate/liberal’ voters.
In the memo written that accompanied the numbers, Moore attributes Sullivan’s surge to greater voter awareness. The memo says that by almost a 2:1 margin, the information that they’re receiving about Sullivan is making them more likely to vote for him.
Moore has a long history of polling for Alaska Republicans, including Ted Stevens and Lisa Murkowski.
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